Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.636625 1.890342 2.169347 2.498790 2.877056 3.297701 3.800911
2025-04-13 1.187609 1.494297 1.860228 2.328582 2.911776 3.613796 4.522965
2025-04-20 0.975912 1.323144 1.767948 2.378528 3.194093 4.245255 5.702754
2025-04-27 0.839507 1.216857 1.731892 2.484373 3.554118 5.018872 7.176111
2025-05-04 0.717247 1.104766 1.665013 2.531122 3.833707 5.717169 8.645645
2025-05-11 0.615346 1.002121 1.591544 2.551033 4.070043 6.378007 10.147592
2025-05-18 0.514313 0.882194 1.470969 2.476455 4.145757 6.800878 11.338963
2025-05-25 0.424483 0.764374 1.333848 2.350879 4.115786 7.045028 12.267254
2025-06-01 0.372008 0.700755 1.275413 2.345042 4.278612 7.616030 13.801160
2025-06-08 0.322027 0.633142 1.199307 2.295259 4.354451 8.042654 15.132418
2025-06-15 0.303850 0.621473 1.221307 2.425080 4.768564 9.110792 17.742035
2025-06-22 0.279675 0.594192 1.209703 2.488468 5.064081 9.993892 20.111891
2025-06-29 0.250345 0.553120 1.167771 2.491013 5.250855 10.711890 22.293416
2025-07-06 0.212268 0.487679 1.067577 2.361011 5.153864 10.865563 23.378374
2025-07-13 0.197485 0.470530 1.065308 2.436316 5.493434 11.939547 26.491867
2025-07-20 0.187968 0.463728 1.084251 2.560277 5.954087 13.321400 30.435519
2025-07-27 0.174407 0.445256 1.074470 2.618017 6.275287 14.443629 33.955711
2025-08-03 0.160232 0.422979 1.052650 2.644425 6.527843 15.444456 37.329320
2025-08-10 0.141737 0.386830 0.992656 2.570582 6.533571 15.885796 39.464638
2025-08-17 0.122708 0.346088 0.915347 2.442280 6.388212 15.954290 40.716279
2025-08-24 0.112199 0.326408 0.888203 2.437391 6.549625 16.773938 43.901817
2025-08-31 0.100729 0.302183 0.845775 2.386377 6.585635 17.289967 46.392113
2025-09-07 0.098318 0.303378 0.871299 2.521675 7.130390 19.148917 52.558286